The Signal and the Noise

"The Signal and the Noise" might qualify. How to reason about systems of messy data.... like the weather for example. Very well written and entertaining.

Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver

Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise [1] is excellent. [1] http://www.amazon.com/Signal-Noise-Many-Predictions-Fail--bu... (http://www.amazon.com/Signal-Noise-Many-Predictions-Fail--but/dp/0143125087/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1451951860&sr=8-1&keywords=the+signal+and+the+noise)

Just finished Nate Silver's "The Signal and The Noise". Interesting collection of prediction case studies, seeing what can and can't be effectively predicted. Good for correcting black-and-white thinking. Currently reading "Naples 44", diary of an intelligence officer there just after the US landings. The author is classically trained enough to immediately fall in love with the place despite the war, so it's a strange mix of lounging around Paestum and the stark effects of war. Next in queue: pick one to re-read from Iain M Banks or Pratchett. (Presumably Clausewitz is in your reading list somewhere as well; his book is unfinished but contains both good quotes to mine and real insight into how few military problems are about actual fighting itself.)

Poor Economics - Abhijit Banerjee & Esther Duflo Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman The Signal and The Noise - Nate Silver Predictably Irrational - Dan Ariely This Time is Different - Carmen Reinhart & Kenneth Rogoff Subliminal - Leonard Mlodinow Fooled by Randomness - Nassim Taleb For something more lighthearted, I also enjoyed: An Economist Gets Lunch - Tyler Cowen Inside Jokes - Matthew Hurley & others (mostly skipped the dense parts)

Coincidently, I just finished reading The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver too. I found it interesting and not too technical. It covered lot of ground. Now, I am reading Innumeracy by John Allen Paulos. It is more in depth and technical than Nate's.

I just finished reading The Signal and The Noise by Nate Silver. It was an interesting read, but it felt a bit shallow in it's analysis. I was feeling the need for some fiction, so I picked up Vladimir Nabokov's translation of Eugene Onegin by Aleksandr Pushkin. Not sure what to think about it yet, but it's interesting reading Nabokov's analysis and seeing into his mindset a little. Sheds some light on his work as well.