There is only one book I would recommend: Title: Philosophical Essay on Probabilities Author: Pierre Simon Marquis de Laplace Year: 1794 (and still applicable) Amazon Search: http://www.amazon.co.uk/s/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=search-alias%3D... (http://www.amazon.co.uk/s/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=search-alias%3Ddigital-text&field-keywords=philosophical+essay+on+probability&x=0&y=0) Google Books: http://books.google.com/books/about/A_philosophical_essay_on... (http://books.google.com/books/about/A_philosophical_essay_on_probabilities.html?id=WxoPAAAAIAAJ) Sure you can find more current texts, but this introduces it as if this was a cold introduction, and makes the foundation understanding almost complete. It's a pretty stunning piece of work, the essay being a popular introduction and not the underlying mathematical lecture it was based on.
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A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
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